Tesla shares
Investment Thesis
Tesla's 180x P/E valuation is entirely predicated on unproven AI/robotics ambitions while the core EV business deteriorates with two consecutive years of declining sales and operating margins compressed to 4.2%. At $390.82, the stock trades near Morningstar's $400 fair value which assumes flawless execution across robotaxis, Optimus robots, and $25B annual AI capex—creating asymmetric downside as reality diverges from expectations.
Why It May Work
Why It May Not Work
Timeline
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