TSLA has collapsed ~31% YTD and ~19% in just five sessions post-earnings, reaching a potential capitulation zone at $313 where the stock now prices in severe margin deterioration while largely ignoring 26% revenue growth and record deliveries of 480,126 units. The AI capex reckoning theme and Mag Seven rotation exodus have amplified the selloff beyond fundamental deterioration, creating an overshoot opportunity for contrarian buyers willing to tolerate near-term volatility. With Asian tech stocks already rebounding on AI capex narratives from Alphabet and Tesla [N7], and the post-earnings institutional distribution showing signs of exhaustion, a mean-reversion bounce toward prior breakdown levels is plausible over a 4-8 week horizon.