20+ Year US Treasuries
Investment Thesis
TLT has printed a potential capitulation low at its 52-week bottom of $83.56, with RSI collapsing to 27.15 and a massive volume spike on May 15 (50.8M shares — more than double average daily volume) signaling possible exhaustion selling. The setup favors a tactical mean-reversion bounce toward the 50-day MA at $86.34.
Catalysts to Watch
TLT printed a 52-week low at $83.56, accompanied by a capitulation-volume session on May 15 (50.8M shares vs. the typical 20–25M average), while RSI plunged to deeply oversold territory at 27.15.
Why It May Work
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Timeline
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