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Back to Ideas
MSFT SHORT

Microsoft Corporation

In Progress
Progress to Target
Current
Entry
$390.54
Target
$355.00
Stop Loss
$408.00
Potential
R/R

Investment Thesis

MSFT is in a confirmed primary downtrend with a pattern of lower highs and lower lows, down ~19% YTD, and faces a confluence of fundamental headwinds including a UK regulatory probe into Copilot pricing, Disney dropping GitHub Copilot for OpenAI's Codex, and AI valuation doubts weighing on the broader tech sector. The stock's failure to sustain recoveries above $402 resistance, combined with mounting competitive and regulatory pressures on its core AI monetization thesis, makes a momentum short entry at $390.54 compelling with the trend firmly in sellers' favor.

Why It May Work

Why It May Not Work

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