Meta (Facebook) shares
Investment Thesis
META has rallied 11% in five days post-earnings to $716.50, creating an overextended technical setup just 2% below all-time highs. The $115-$135B capex guidance for 2026 represents near-term margin compression risk that the market hasn't fully digested, while mounting child safety litigation and competitive pressures from TikTok create significant downside catalysts that contradict the euphoric sentiment.
Catalysts to Watch
Federal Reserve policy decision, youth harm litigation developments, TikTok competitive data, AI capex ROI updates, Reality Labs loss trajectory
Why It May Work
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Timeline
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