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Back to Ideas
TLT LONG

20+ Year US Treasuries

Completed
Progress to Target
Current
Entry
$84.22
Target
$86.07
Stop Loss
$82.75
Potential
R/R

Investment Thesis

TLT hit a 52-week low with capitulation-volume and the TLT/SPY ratio RSI crashed to 4.52 — one of the most extreme oversold readings possible for relative performance. A tactical mean-reversion bounce toward the 50-day SMA (~$86) is the higher-probability near-term path, though the structural death-cross trend remains firmly intact.

Why It May Work

Why It May Not Work

Timeline

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