iShares PHLX SOX Semiconductor
Investment Thesis
SOXX has gone parabolic — RSI at 94.84 and price 25.8% above its 50-day MA after a vertical 50% surge. At these extremes, a mean-reversion pullback toward the 50-day MA (~$362–400 zone) looks probable before any sustainable trend continuation.
Catalysts to Watch
SOXX completed a parabolic +50% rally in just 17 trading days (Mar 30 – Apr 24), pushing RSI(14) to 94.84 and price to 25.8% above its 50-day MA — while the SOXX/SPY relative strength ratio RSI hit 90.15 and the equity put/call ratio collapsed to 0.50, flagging extreme complacency.
Why It May Work
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Timeline
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