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IBIT SHORT

iShares Bitcoin Trust ETF - iSh

In Progress
Progress to Target
Current
Entry
$38.82
Target
$35.50
Stop Loss
$40.20
Potential
R/R

Investment Thesis

IBIT has rallied 6.27% over the past month despite Bitcoin remaining 40% below its October 2025 peak, creating an overbought condition vulnerable to reversal. The recent -3.36% daily decline signals momentum exhaustion near the $40 resistance level that has repeatedly rejected rallies. With the Fed maintaining a hawkish stance and Bitcoin failing to sustain moves above $75K despite institutional inflows, a mean reversion toward the $35-36 support zone offers favorable risk/reward from current levels.

Why It May Work

Why It May Not Work

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