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MSFT SHORT

Microsoft Corporation

In Progress
Progress to Target
Current
Entry
$367.34
Target
$320.00
Stop Loss
$385.00
Potential
R/R

Investment Thesis

MSFT is in a confirmed primary downtrend with accelerating selling pressure, having broken through every support level identified over the past month ($400, $390.58, $378.91) and now trading at fresh 2026 lows near $367. The confluence of a securities fraud class action lawsuit over Copilot misrepresentation, an active FTC antitrust investigation into Azure, deteriorating OpenAI partnership dynamics, and a macro rotation out of megacap tech driven by geopolitical risk-on flows creates a high-probability continuation of the downtrend. With no technical base established and multiple fundamental headwinds compounding, the path of least resistance remains lower into the medium term.

Why It May Work

Why It May Not Work

Timeline

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