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AVGO SHORT

Broadcom Inc.

In Progress
Progress to Target
Current
Entry
$386.50
Target
$348.00
Stop Loss
$402.00
Potential
R/R

Investment Thesis

AVGO has rebounded ~5.4% from its July 17 low but faces a confluence of headwinds that make the current $386.50 level an attractive short entry: the broader semiconductor valuation correction is ongoing, AI infrastructure spending fears are intensifying, and the stock remains technically below its July 13 high of ~$392, suggesting the bounce is a relief rally within a downtrend rather than a genuine trend reversal. The $35B Apollo private credit deal for AI infrastructure [7] signals Broadcom's deep entanglement in a capex cycle that is now drawing regulatory and grassroots backlash, while the Mag Seven rotation exodus and Chinese AI model competition threaten to reprice AI-adjacent semiconductor premiums lower over the medium term.

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