Alphabet (google) shares
Investment Thesis
GOOGL is trading at ~$333.71, representing a ~23% discount to Morningstar's $433 fair value estimate and ~19% below its all-time high, despite delivering record Q2 2026 results with 24% revenue growth and 298% net income growth YoY. The post-earnings selloff driven by negative free cash flow optics and elevated capex guidance has created a sentiment-driven dislocation from fundamentals, as Google Cloud's 82% YoY growth, Gemini's 950M MAU trajectory, and a $460B revenue backlog confirm structural earnings power that the market is temporarily discounting. With the stock stabilizing above the 200-day moving average near $322 and macro fears around oil prices beginning to ease, the risk/reward at current levels strongly favors value-oriented accumulation over the medium term.
Why It May Work
Why It May Not Work
Timeline
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