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Back to Ideas
TLT LONG

20+ Year US Treasuries

In Progress
Progress to Target
Current
Entry
$86.65
Target
$89.50
Stop Loss
$83.50
Potential
R/R

Investment Thesis

TLT is testing a critical support shelf just 3% above its 52-week low ($83.97) while equity fear gauges (total put/call ratio 1.02, SPX put/call 1.26) signal near-extreme hedging demand — historically a contrarian trigger for flight-to-safety flows into long-duration Treasuries. MACD histogram has just flipped positive for the first time in weeks, suggesting early exhaustion of selling pressure.

Why It May Work

Why It May Not Work

Timeline

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