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TSLA SHORT

Tesla shares

In Progress
Progress to Target
Current
Entry
$376.30
Target
$320.00
Stop Loss
$395.00
Potential
R/R

Investment Thesis

Tesla is trading at $376.30 despite deteriorating core automotive fundamentals and unsustainable margin compression to 4.2%, while the strategic pivot to unproven AI/robotics requires $25B+ annual capex and may generate negative free cash flow in 2026 for the first time since 2018. The stock trades near Morningstar's $400 fair value despite execution risks mounting across all segments, with Q1 deliveries missing estimates, energy storage falling 39% short, and operating expenses surging 37% - creating an asymmetric risk/reward favoring downside to the low $300s support level.

Why It May Work

Why It May Not Work

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