Apple shares
Investment Thesis
AAPL has surged +22% YTD and +12.8% in the past month alone, reaching successive all-time highs at a time when multiple macro headwinds are converging: a semiconductor valuation correction is rippling across AI-adjacent names, Iran war escalation is injecting broad risk-off sentiment, and the stock is now pricing in a near-perfect execution scenario on AI chips, price hikes, and leadership transition simultaneously. A mean reversion toward the prior breakout zone near $305-$310 is plausible over a 2-8 week horizon as these risks are digested and stretched momentum unwinds.
Why It May Work
Why It May Not Work
Timeline
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