Tesla shares
Investment Thesis
TSLA is exhibiting a classic bearish momentum structure: a 'sell-the-news' collapse on strong Q2 delivery data (+24.9% YoY) confirms that positive fundamental catalysts are being absorbed by institutional selling pressure, with each recovery rally failing at successively lower highs. The stock is down ~9.5% from its July 1 peak of $431.62 in under 48 hours, YTD performance remains deeply negative at -13.16%, and escalating NHTSA/NTSB regulatory scrutiny of FSD following a fatal Texas crash introduces a material overhang on Tesla's highest-margin growth narrative. Entering short at $393.45 targets continuation of the prevailing downtrend toward YTD lows as the market awaits Q2 earnings to resolve unanswered profitability questions.
Why It May Work
Why It May Not Work
Timeline
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