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Back to Ideas
TLT LONG

20+ Year US Treasuries

In Progress
Progress to Target
Current
Entry
$87.05
Target
$90.50
Stop Loss
$84.80
Potential
R/R

Investment Thesis

The TLT/SPY relative-strength ratio has crashed to an RSI of just 5.56 — one of the most extreme oversold readings possible — while TLT price has spent four weeks coiling in an ultra-tight $86–87 range. This is a classic contrarian mean-reversion setup: bones of the bear are visible, yet the ratio exhaustion and a MACD histogram turning positive argue that a tactical bounce is building.

Why It May Work

Why It May Not Work

Timeline

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