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TSLA SHORT

Tesla shares

Completed
Progress to Target
Current
Entry
$417.85
Target
$365.00
Stop Loss
$438.00
Potential
R/R

Investment Thesis

Tesla's valuation at 180x earnings remains disconnected from deteriorating fundamentals, with the automotive business in structural decline (9% delivery drop in 2025, losing market leadership to BYD) while AI/robotics monetization timelines extend indefinitely. Recent robotaxi crashes, legal losses over FSD promises, and intensifying Chinese competition from Xiaomi's new SUV create immediate headwinds, while the stock trades only 4.4% above Morningstar's $400 fair value with negative free cash flow projected through 2026. The market is overpricing speculative AI transformation while underweighting execution risks.

Why It May Work

Why It May Not Work

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