SPDR Select Sector Fund - Finan
Investment Thesis
XLF has surged 7.3% off its late-March lows straight into 200-day MA resistance (~$52.70) with RSI printing overbought at 71.67 — all while a death cross remains in place and the XLF/SPY ratio sits below both its 50- and 200-day SMAs. The risk/reward looks asymmetric to the downside: the bounce looks exhausted at a structurally bearish ceiling.
Catalysts to Watch
XLF rallied 7.3% from its March 27 low ($47.81), including a gap-up on April 8, bringing price to $51.33 — within striking distance of the 200-day MA at $52.70 — while RSI(14) crossed into overbought territory at 71.67 under an active death cross structure.
Why It May Work
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Timeline
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