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Back to Ideas
BABA SHORT

Alibaba Group Holding Limited

In Progress
Progress to Target
Current
Entry
$138.59
Target
$118.00
Stop Loss
$145.50
Potential
R/R

Investment Thesis

Despite impressive AI model launches and technical breakouts, BABA's recent surge to $138.59 (+3.98% today) appears overextended given fundamental deterioration including 67% net income decline, accelerating e-commerce market share erosion, and the strategic shift to eliminate free-tier AI services signaling monetization struggles. The stock has rallied 10%+ in recent weeks on AI hype while core business headwinds intensify, creating an attractive short entry as euphoria meets reality.

Why It May Work

Why It May Not Work

Timeline

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