iShares MSCI Emerging Index Fun
Investment Thesis
EEM broke out to 52-week highs (+51.85% over the past year) with its ratio vs SPY confirmed above both the 50-day and 200-day moving averages — a genuine structural outperformance signal. However, RSI at 88.29 and extreme equity call-buying (put/call 0.41) point to near-term exhaustion, making the playbook clear: wait for a pullback to the 50-day MA (~$59.35) before entering long.
Catalysts to Watch
EEM surged ~16% in three weeks (March 30 – April 17) to print a new 52-week high of $63.64, driven by a large gap-up session on April 8. The EEM/SPY ratio simultaneously crossed above its own 50-day and 200-day MAs, confirming that emerging markets are outperforming US equities on a structural basis, not just in absolute terms.
Why It May Work
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Timeline
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