20+ Year US Treasuries
Investment Thesis
TLT has rallied about 5% in four weeks into the 82.1 swing resistance. It is overbought (RSI 75.6, Stochastic 90), still below a falling 200-day MA, and the bounce is on fading volume. This is a technical read of a counter-bounce fade within the larger downtrend, not investment advice.
Catalysts to Watch
TLT rebounded from the 77.11 52-week low (Oct 5) to 81.49, about 5.2% in 4 weeks. It is now 0.8% below the 82.13 resistance zone, with daily volume 34% below its 20-day average.
Why It May Work
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Timeline
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